Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2553.250970 2768.442353 2987.079943 3225.537048 3477.972871 3736.939882 4022.374634
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2215.205045 2535.051678 2872.776649 3254.751482 3673.550814 4117.555989 4622.654536
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1980.192530 2360.023026 2772.735278 3252.037910 3790.853906 4375.392960 5054.951846
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1840.026392 2268.161447 2744.444938 3309.541741 3957.581347 4673.422846 5519.737871
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1679.877682 2137.271439 2657.372343 3286.686894 4021.491038 4846.383785 5836.233351
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1596.694165 2087.522696 2656.190849 3355.763660 4184.975017 5128.338299 6274.198332
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1498.956321 2012.374371 2618.077125 3375.097407 4285.249029 5333.706012 6621.692309
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1404.548565 1934.533817 2570.734432 3377.907566 4361.411036 5507.625975 6930.496831
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1270.648125 1799.415327 2446.144816 3279.921226 4310.268176 5525.786412 7051.156048
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1245.460804 1800.281279 2488.253696 3385.574273 4505.760469 5838.808650 7524.606382
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1205.887628 1779.683468 2501.098825 3453.041650 4653.451258 6094.276300 7930.195647
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1139.988507 1720.716422 2461.806865 3451.922818 4713.869036 6242.297342 8205.315346
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1061.724747 1642.485243 2395.708887 3415.563932 4730.312116 6338.015015 8420.146993
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1015.772910 1605.987147 2382.451358 3446.088356 4830.866712 6538.202184 8765.196491
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 960.533199 1553.602153 2345.452371 3443.255921 4887.002369 6681.998173 9040.282557
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 932.634997 1538.112429 2356.765196 3503.268172 5023.851376 6927.600355 9443.767623
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 876.727188 1479.625569 2306.965527 3479.417696 5049.742666 7031.652672 9669.189816
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 857.749850 1473.737313 2328.770942 3551.498331 5201.434546 7296.553392 10099.238932
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 822.639722 1442.206758 2313.318762 3571.669994 5283.770308 7472.473691 10417.050289
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 784.151019 1403.701008 2286.364982 3574.601843 5342.123989 7617.044269 10695.163321
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 715.600342 1315.968109 2185.921906 3472.356957 5256.208648 7571.781250 10727.390437
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 714.622652 1332.919599 2236.829269 3582.600413 5458.962645 7905.295717 11251.319633
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 702.080372 1330.935661 2259.618273 3652.980011 5607.726431 8168.824765 11686.228035